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Old 09-16-2020, 03:38 PM
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This is just something else. Monday 5 pm Florida and Alabama weren't even in the cone.


Old 09-16-2020, 04:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Paul Barnard View Post
Y'all know how the National Park Service just spent millions fixing Camille and Katrina cuts to rejoin East and West Ship islands? That was nice for the few months it lasted.
Yea, that never made any sense to me. But, it sure made some dredge owners happy.
Old 09-16-2020, 04:32 PM
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Originally Posted by chrisbtr View Post
This is just something else. Monday 5 pm Florida and Alabama weren't even in the cone.
Yes, the forward speed slowed more than anticipated and it sort of drifted a bit, but the bottom of that Monday 1700 Forecast Advisory had this note:

”EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY“
Old 09-16-2020, 05:17 PM
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Originally Posted by chrisbtr View Post
This is just something else. Monday 5 pm Florida and Alabama weren't even in the cone.


If the eye had passed over the Mobile Bay as the far east side of that shows, knowing what we know about winds and surge, wouldn't people in OB be well advised to move their boats?

Later that evening they shifted the cone IIRC. That gave people that take the forecasts as gospel more than 48 hours to move vulnerable belongings What did Michael and Laura teach us about forecasts?

My heart truly hurts for those who lost their boats, but they really can't point the finger of blame anywhere.
Old 09-16-2020, 05:18 PM
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Originally Posted by pdsw View Post
Yea, that never made any sense to me. But, it sure made some dredge owners happy.
With the path shifting further east, maybe it was spared.
Old 09-16-2020, 05:53 PM
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Sadly, this is the Fort Morgan Marina dry storage.Was hopeful that the structure would survive. What a mess.








Last edited by cgull; 09-16-2020 at 06:20 PM. Reason: Confirmed an add pictures.
Old 09-16-2020, 06:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Paul Barnard View Post
If the eye had passed over the Mobile Bay as the far east side of that shows, knowing what we know about winds and surge, wouldn't people in OB be well advised to move their boats?

Later that evening they shifted the cone IIRC. That gave people that take the forecasts as gospel more than 48 hours to move vulnerable belongings What did Michael and Laura teach us about forecasts?

My heart truly hurts for those who lost their boats, but they really can't point the finger of blame anywhere.
From Monday evening to Tuesday night they had just 24 hours. I know some big boats probably moved east from LA/MS to dodge the storm and got caught up in FL/AL. We are in south Louisiana and of course dodged it but I think this one definitely took some people by surprise and there was little they could do within a 24-36 hour time frame. Unless of course their boat is trailerable.

I don't think there is anyone to blame on this one. Just sucks and shows how truly unpredictable these storms can be.
Old 09-16-2020, 06:24 PM
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It is strange that every storm in the Gulf has had a track to New Orleans 4 days out and have all been significantly east or west be landfall. The next one in the Gulf right now is headed straight to New Orleans right now also. We shall see.

Prayers to all those that have no doubt lost a lot.
Old 09-16-2020, 06:40 PM
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Might be surprised at how many of those boats in that storage are repairable. Sinkers in my experience get totaled...
Old 09-16-2020, 06:54 PM
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Originally Posted by pooldoo73 View Post
It is strange that every storm in the Gulf has had a track to New Orleans 4 days out and have all been significantly east or west be landfall. The next one in the Gulf right now is headed straight to New Orleans right now also. We shall see.

Prayers to all those that have no doubt lost a lot.
which is the next one you are referring to? That #1 low in the SW gulf?
Old 09-16-2020, 07:26 PM
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Originally Posted by ono loco View Post
Might be surprised at how many of those boats in that storage are repairable. Sinkers in my experience get totaled...
my buddy lost his 35 Contender in Dry stack during Ivan. It looked to be light damage from pictures but once they dug it out it had some structural damage. Ins. Didnít hesitate on totaling it
Old 09-16-2020, 07:42 PM
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The heavy machinery that will be removing the building will total most of what was salvageable. Time is money and gently picking through the wreck to save a few boats is cost prohibitive. The right folks may be able to get with the demo company and pull lower units before everything gets thrown in the dumpster.


Yes, the low in the SW Gulf.
Old 09-16-2020, 07:59 PM
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10-4
Old 09-17-2020, 08:09 AM
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This is really cute. Another one already in the works


Old 09-17-2020, 11:00 AM
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We made it off ono, just getting cell service back.

a lot of flooding on the island, some houses 4-6 feet of water, but itís going down. We thankfully are on high ground, and just had wind damage. Itís unreal driving around and seeing so many boats where they shouldnít be. A lot of debris in the bay, and had trees floating down my canal. Sitting in the eye wall for four hours was unnerving, but could have been much worse.
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Old 09-17-2020, 11:56 AM
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Pensacola is pretty well smashed. Gonna be a week or two before power is back on.
Old 09-17-2020, 11:57 AM
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Originally Posted by Razorback713 View Post
. Itís unreal driving around and seeing so many boats where they shouldnít be..
Think ole Propbender might have a fantastic '21
Old 09-17-2020, 03:01 PM
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Everyone will be looking for boats next year. Might have to put mine up and sit out a while.
Old 09-17-2020, 03:45 PM
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We had some fence and tree damage in Daphne. The house we put an offer on Monday (was accepted Tuesday) suffered some damage so we might be homeless until we can close, depends on roofers I suppose. It’s a real mess I can tell you.
Old 09-17-2020, 05:42 PM
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This storm was rough. The wind lasted forever on top of rain that just sat here pouring for 24 hours, it put a hurting on the area. Baldwin County is a disaster. Trees down everywhere. Power lines down. The hospitals are running off generators. We just got power back and I am amazed. I don't care what I pay in power bills form here on out. Its worth every penny to have the response we've seen around here.

Im proud of what happened after the storm. Neighbors helped neighbors, people with no reason to help got out on Wednesday morning and started cutting trees out of the road. Doing what I could it was still today until I could get out of my immediate area and get to a main road. Even then we are having to go around trees to get a mile from the house.

We've still got a lot of work to do but we will keep going.

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