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Irma

Old 09-06-2017, 05:57 AM
  #261  
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I hope the models continue this east trend until it goes out to sea and affects no one.
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Old 09-06-2017, 05:59 AM
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The models have it cutting early now. But not early enough.
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:13 AM
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They grossly over state the danger in storm after storm, then whine about people tuning out or disregarding the warnings. The media is spreading hysteria with the Weather Channel being the worst offender. While these worst case doomsday scenarios they talk about incessantly are possible (and sell advertising), they are not likely. It's up to each person to decide what their risk is and act.


The Keys have been hit many, many times. They do get less surge because the of the deep water and reef as well as fewer embedded tornados than a mainland landfall. Even with what looks like shoddy construction and decades of rot, those 100+ year old houses in Key West are still there.
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:15 AM
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Originally Posted by scooperfl View Post
The media is spreading hysteria with the Weather Channel being the worst offender. While these worst case doomsday scenarios they talk about incessantly are possible (and sell advertising), they are not likely. It's up to each person to decide what their risk is and act.


The Keys have been hit many, many times. They do get less surge because the of the deep water and reef as well as fewer embedded tornados than a mainland landfall. Even with what looks like shoddy construction and decades of rot, those 100+ year old houses in Key West are still there.
Yes. I just clicked on a google link for CNN. They have the ppl there already saying S.fl can expect weeks maybe even MONTHS without power.
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:19 AM
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Originally Posted by scooperfl View Post
The media is spreading hysteria with the Weather Channel being the worst offender. While these worst case doomsday scenarios they talk about incessantly are possible (and sell advertising), they are not likely. It's up to each person to decide what their risk is and act.


The Keys have been hit many, many times. They do get less surge because the of the deep water and reef as well as fewer embedded tornados than a mainland landfall. Even with what looks like shoddy construction and decades of rot, those 100+ year old houses in Key West are still there.
I think they have to do that sometimes. There are a lot of idiots out there....my neighbor came up to me yesterday asking why I was putting up my hurricane shutters. When I told him about the hurricane he asked if I thought home depot would have any left for his house
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:20 AM
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Originally Posted by CheddarMan View Post
Yes. I just clicked on a google link for CNN. They have the ppl there already saying S.fl can expect weeks maybe even MONTHS without power.
I have put up with FPL replacing all of the utility poles in my neighborhood over the past year. I'm talking giant concrete poles all over, some have to be 24"+ in diameter. I hope the banging and pounding is worth it and we don't lose power.
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:23 AM
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Originally Posted by billinstuart View Post
Me either. Tracks are constantly moving. I'm not leaving. YOU may NOT be able to leave unless you take back roads, and we're kinda short on back roads.
I agree. Don't think we will get a direct hit. Not worried about storm surge for predicted tracks. MIL is home bound so I am not willing to leave my FIL. May send the wife and dogs out if it looks like a direct hit up here. So much panic is making things so much worse. If I were Publix I would refuse to take water returns that were purchased this week. Saw a guy with 2 carts filled with cases of water.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:07 AM
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I live in Jupiter and am planning on boarding up and bugging out. A frame house from 84? No thank you.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:19 AM
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Just drive from Ft Myers to punta Gorda on 75 to catch a plane and 75n was dead, no traffic at all . I was surprised
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:20 AM
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Originally Posted by Ahoy Vay View Post
I agree. Don't think we will get a direct hit. Not worried about storm surge for predicted tracks. MIL is home bound so I am not willing to leave my FIL. May send the wife and dogs out if it looks like a direct hit up here. So much panic is making things so much worse. If I were Publix I would refuse to take water returns that were purchased this week. Saw a guy with 2 carts filled with cases of water.
The tracks are a guidance and not the actual path.

St Martin News.

French Interior Minister Gerard Collomb also said that government buildings on the island of Saint Martin — the most sturdy built there — had been destroyed.

"We know that the four most solid buildings on the island have been destroyed which means that more rustic structures have probably been completely or partially destroyed," he told reporters
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:21 AM
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FYI:

Barbuda storm surge was at 8' wind 115 with gust to 155 WHEN THE SENSOR FAILED!

Antigua was spared evidently. Trees and bushes stripped of leaves and some down but sounds like they did ok.

Trying to raise folks on Barbuda but no comms as of 0930.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:32 AM
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got a video this morning from marigot (st. martin) during the eye. Friend described winds as 'unreal' and 'pure devastation'. Shots of what was left of the marina were bad. Haven't gotten any word since then so hoping just loss of comm. from backside of storm.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:36 AM
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St Martin Airport
Attached Images     
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:37 AM
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Originally Posted by tabascoT View Post
got a video this morning from marigot (st. martin) during the eye. Friend described winds as 'unreal' and 'pure devastation'. Shots of what was left of the marina were bad. Haven't gotten any word since then so hoping just loss of comm. from backside of storm.
Airport cam at Saint Martin... Scary shit

http://www.mahobeachcam.com

Think its located near the fence people hang on to when the jets land.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:38 AM
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:53 AM
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saint martin R.I.P. nice knowing you
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:57 AM
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Live cam while it lasts

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Old 09-06-2017, 08:40 AM
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Originally Posted by FishHarder View Post
i have seen an eastern movement since 4 o'clock today...lets hope that continues.
Saw it yesterday, before the turn overnight..and now see even more drastic WNW movement...I am seeing a miss on Florida and a hit to eastern Bahamas...but you never know..be prepared, be safe!! It is a powerful MF.

Amazing pics Tuna921


http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-tim...atest72hrs.gif
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:48 AM
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Originally Posted by FishHarder View Post
Called it yesterday, before the turn overnight..and now see even more drastic WNW movement...I am seeing a miss on florida and a hit to eastern Bahamas
Don't get too excited yet. It was always forecast to move WNW. The key will be the main turn to the north which is still some time away. Just as fast as this is predicted to shift north it could easily head further west. We have seen the variability of the models and forecasts in the past.
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:49 AM
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Still early this is a large storm but we hope you are right
a N NE turn is best for all
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