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Early Tropical Storm Alberto

Old 05-25-2018, 06:42 AM
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Default Early Tropical Storm Alberto




looking like there might be a pretty solid possibility of a storm on Sunday.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

Heres a pic from windy. It's using the European model which has been fairly accurate, but it's still a bit far out.

Last edited by crazybeard; 05-25-2018 at 07:48 AM.
Old 05-25-2018, 06:46 AM
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Lots of rain on way here sun-tues. If they're correct
Old 05-25-2018, 06:55 AM
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It has been sitting over Cozumel for days.
Old 05-25-2018, 06:59 AM
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They gave it a name this morning: Alberto

Enjoy all that liquid sunshine
Old 05-25-2018, 07:11 AM
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Has been hanging over the Keys for almost two weeks now. Not much sun and lots of rain.
Unusually early start to rainy season.
Old 05-25-2018, 07:17 AM
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Originally Posted by savage View Post
They gave it a name this morning: Alberto

Enjoy all that liquid sunshine
Who gave it a name? As of 3 hours ago it is not yet tropical depression, let alone a named storm.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...MIATWOAT.shtml

And I've seen no source that predicts it has any chance of reaching hurricane strength.
Old 05-25-2018, 07:26 AM
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Originally Posted by drkptt View Post
Who gave it a name? As of 3 hours ago it is not yet tropical depression, let alone a named storm.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...MIATWOAT.shtml

And I've seen no source that predicts it has any chance of reaching hurricane strength.
Must have seen this. Lot's of "if's" with this one.


Tropical Storm Alberto: What Is Potential Storm's Path and When Will It Hit?
Old 05-25-2018, 07:44 AM
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Thumbs down

Need Dislike button please.
Old 05-25-2018, 07:47 AM
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Originally Posted by drkptt View Post
Who gave it a name? As of 3 hours ago it is not yet tropical depression, let alone a named storm.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...MIATWOAT.shtml

And I've seen no source that predicts it has any chance of reaching hurricane strength.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents

Close but no hurricane cigar.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 86.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 86.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 24.1N 85.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.7N 86.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.3N 87.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 80NW.
Old 05-25-2018, 07:50 AM
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I posted this before the track and name came out. Wasn't trying to insinuate it would reach hurricane threshold. Subject edited to reflect.
Old 05-25-2018, 07:55 AM
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Funny, I went to that site at 10:15 and the announcement that the storm had been named was not yet posted (though it is now posted and time-stamped at 10:00).
Old 05-25-2018, 08:07 AM
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Originally Posted by drkptt View Post
Funny, I went to that site at 10:15 and the announcement that the storm had been named was not yet posted (though it is now posted and time-stamped at 10:00).
Latest model run is AT 10am, doesn't mean its published online at 10am.
Old 05-25-2018, 08:11 AM
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These guys are so desperate to name this storm and start the hype that they will do anything.

We had a pretty good thunderstorm here yesterday, any chance that they could name it after me????
Old 05-25-2018, 08:12 AM
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Looks like its going to produce a lot of snow with those temperatures shown.

What a great MD weekend!
Old 05-25-2018, 08:13 AM
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Originally Posted by GWcpa View Post
Looks like its going to produce a lot of snow with those temperatures shown.

What a great MD weekend!
those temps are Celsius.
Old 05-25-2018, 08:17 AM
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Originally Posted by GWcpa View Post
Looks like its going to produce a lot of snow with those temperatures shown.

What a great MD weekend!
If it snows at almost 79 degrees, it is probably nuclear fall out.
Old 05-25-2018, 08:18 AM
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Old 05-25-2018, 09:39 AM
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No hurricane predicted... just lots of rain and wind , and a possible 1-3 tide surge in our models for now.
Old 05-25-2018, 10:26 AM
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It is a “sub-tropical”storm. Currently, it is not a warm-core system, but is expected to transition into a warm-core, and thus tropical, system, in the next 24-48 hours. Current guidance is pretty interesting, as Alberto is going to influenced by a number of external systems, Timing of these systems will greatly influence the track. Regardless, it will be a very effective rainmaker. The northern Gulf region (where I type this today is expecting widespread flooding due to 6-10 inches of rain. Since we got over an inch today from a system totally unrelated to Alberto, and will have another 2 or so inches of rain before this crap moves out, the storm rainfall will fall on already saturated areas and full creeks. The Magnolia may go nuts again...
Old 05-25-2018, 11:01 AM
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For the weather nerds out here, I work for a very large insurer in Florida and track weather, storms, hurricanes, could recommends the following links:
http://spaghettimodels.com/

and Doctor Jeff Masters blog on:

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6

Enjoy! Think you can find just about anything your need to know for major storms here .
Jim

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