Notices

Hurricane Harvey

Old 08-24-2017, 03:45 PM
  #61  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: HI - TX - FL
Posts: 897
Received 24 Likes on 16 Posts
Default

given this is my first experience...how far inland ideally do I need to be for the winds to subside?
Old 08-24-2017, 03:56 PM
  #62  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: coastal tx
Posts: 695
Likes: 0
Received 716 Likes on 443 Posts
Default

where are you located and how much of the wind do you want to get away from?
if you are in a low lying area that is the 1st place you want out of with the rain and surge tides
Old 08-24-2017, 04:02 PM
  #63  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: St. Pete
Posts: 1,294
Received 176 Likes on 124 Posts
Default

Here are the wind speed prediction maps: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...nd120#contents
Old 08-24-2017, 04:05 PM
  #64  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: HI - TX - FL
Posts: 897
Received 24 Likes on 16 Posts
Default

thanks guys.

Landfall is where I drystack, Rockport....

I'm hauling it back to Lake Travis.
Old 08-24-2017, 04:06 PM
  #65  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Odessa, FL
Posts: 639
Likes: 0
Received 157 Likes on 98 Posts
Default

This will be a mass devastation hurricane. Very doubtful it is only a Cat 3. Prolonged storm surge and waves will cause great destruction up to the elevation of the high tide + storm surge + wave height. I'm basing my prediction upon the duration of the storm surge as the hurricane stalls on the coast.

Anyone on the barrier islands need to evacuate tonight. By tomorrow noon the water will be up, roads will be flooding and the bridges will be clogged.

Minimum 35 foot elevation needed to avoid destruction.

Been living near the ocean most of my 55 years. Prolonged water height + large waves = devastation.

The media is underplaying this to pull a Katrina on Trump. The Bastids!!!
Old 08-24-2017, 04:07 PM
  #66  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: 70605
Posts: 2,520
Received 942 Likes on 548 Posts
Default

Now they are saying it's going to move back into the gulf and head northwest
Old 08-24-2017, 04:29 PM
  #67  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Texas
Posts: 685
Received 233 Likes on 149 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by OldPete View Post
https://www.wunderground.com/hurrica...l-storm-harvey

Damn. After the loses I suffered in NJ from Sandy -- I sincerely wish the best for everyone. Hope it weakens soon!

Be safe.
Looks like another to hit in the middle of the night....I rode out Ike which hit in the middle of the night.....swore I would never ride one out again. So much scarier at night because all you can hear is the wind and trees snapping all around...Here in Houston area though I think we are safe as far as the hurricane itself....just have to get ready for flooding of course.
Old 08-24-2017, 04:31 PM
  #68  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Texas
Posts: 685
Received 233 Likes on 149 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by nmcclure View Post
given this is my first experience...how far inland ideally do I need to be for the winds to subside?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...ble_toa_34.png

Oklahoma?
Old 08-24-2017, 04:39 PM
  #69  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: God Bless Texas / LOTO
Posts: 908
Likes: 0
Received 458 Likes on 286 Posts
Default

I agree that some broadcasters over-hype storms to the point we no longer know what is hype for ratings or a real cause for concern. You have to wade past the hype and make decisions on solid information.

While not having been through a hurricane myself, I was on a helicopter to get to New Orleans right as Katrina passed to give us a clear shot. I saw the aftermath of those that did not heed the warnings and/or those that expected the government would just save them.

I worked Hurricane Rita soon after that.

Stay safe, all.
Your Central Texas Neighbors
Old 08-24-2017, 04:41 PM
  #70  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Cape Fear, NC
Posts: 11,800
Received 2,620 Likes on 1,620 Posts
Default

12 foot surge will be nasty.
Old 08-24-2017, 04:48 PM
  #71  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Texas
Posts: 685
Received 233 Likes on 149 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Kenner 23 View Post
Now they are saying it's going to move back into the gulf and head northwest
Where did you see this?
Old 08-24-2017, 04:48 PM
  #72  
Senior MemberCaptains Club Member
 
Marlin009's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: West Coast FL
Posts: 15,554
Received 2,113 Likes on 1,070 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Kenner 23 View Post
Now they are saying it's going to move back into the gulf and head northwest
The Euro model has a history of being pretty accurate. Hit TX, sit for a bit, go back out and strengthen. Not good.

Satellite is not showing an eye but the radar definitely does. Good luck guys.
Old 08-24-2017, 04:49 PM
  #73  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Florida
Posts: 7,675
Received 3,899 Likes on 2,035 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by nmcclure View Post
given this is my first experience...how far inland ideally do I need to be for the winds to subside?

Ain't the wind it's the water unless you want to litigate and make yourself whole again.

Your signature indicates a Freeman on order. Well, if the boat is totaled and smashed beyond repair you gonna wait another 2 years to get another one.

Here is what I know to date. Insure for a named storm. Do everthing in your power to prevent damage to your home boats and so on. Have a defined plan.

You think you have the best insurance in the world until you make a claim.

Then, the deductibles kick in and the specific losses to include everything.

I choose and have taken extreme measures to protect my assets.

As far as wind inland it's a crap shoot. They further away from the forecasters track the better.

I have worked 2 events as a recovery asset. Andrew and Charlie sealed the deal for me.

You never want to see it much less live it.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:02 PM
  #74  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Cape Fear, NC
Posts: 11,800
Received 2,620 Likes on 1,620 Posts
Default

Like he said, wind over water. Trust me, you'll happily take wind over water but this one has some ugly potentials due too it's slow movement.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:14 PM
  #75  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: God Bless Texas / LOTO
Posts: 908
Likes: 0
Received 458 Likes on 286 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by CzecheredPast View Post
Where did you see this?
One of the spaghetti track models has the storm paused and pushed back by the flanking high pressure systems to the east and west.

That would be ugly, but that is just one track model.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:26 PM
  #76  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Florida
Posts: 18,132
Received 2,847 Likes on 1,542 Posts
Default

Starting to look like moving westerly... Port Aransas area?

Scary...
Old 08-24-2017, 06:38 PM
  #77  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: San Leon, Texas
Posts: 69
Likes: 0
Received 3 Likes on 3 Posts
Default

It may be bad but y'all need to look historically, I was here on Galveston bay for Ike and had 4' of water under my house that was with a 22' storm surge(google it) they are calling for 4-6 in our area for this storm so relax.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:41 PM
  #78  
Admirals Club Admiral's Club Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: HI - TX - FL
Posts: 897
Received 24 Likes on 16 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by davy1959 View Post
It may be bad but y'all need to look historically, I was here on Galveston bay for Ike and had 4' of water under my house that was with a 22' storm surge(google it) they are calling for 4-6 in our area for this storm so relax.
my biggest issue is the drystack facility isnt rated for cat 3.....and the horror stories on here of members who lost their boats in dry stack failures is nothing I want to be a part of.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:44 PM
  #79  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: 70605
Posts: 2,520
Received 942 Likes on 548 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by 20biminitwist View Post
Ain't the wind it's the water unless you want to litigate and make yourself whole again.

Your signature indicates a Freeman on order. Well, if the boat is totaled and smashed beyond repair you gonna wait another 2 years to get another one.

Here is what I know to date. Insure for a named storm. Do everthing in your power to prevent damage to your home boats and so on. Have a defined plan.

You think you have the best insurance in the world until you make a claim.

Then, the deductibles kick in and the specific losses to include everything.

I choose and have taken extreme measures to protect my assets.

As far as wind inland it's a crap shoot. They further away from the forecasters track the better.

I have worked 2 events as a recovery asset. Andrew and Charlie sealed the deal for me.

You never want to see it much less live it.
^^^This, Lilli 2002, Rita/Katrina 2005, Ike/Gustav 2008 and they all sucked. I have seen enough misery in one storm to last a lifetime much less 5. Fuel will be gold as will ice and Beer. I just agreed to babysit a Calcutta this week so it's not entirely bad.
Old 08-24-2017, 06:46 PM
  #80  
Senior MemberCaptains Club Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Ocean Springs MS
Posts: 389
Received 298 Likes on 138 Posts
Default

There will be lots of wind, rain, and debris flying everywhere, already a shortage of staple food, batteries, bottled water and such. After the storm no electricity, no gas (power will be out) no fresh or cold food, no ATM machines. None of this is fun. Batten down the hatches, get some cash and go on a week or two vacation. There is nothing you can do during the storm except look out the window and marvel at Mother Nature's fury.

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Do Not Sell My Personal Information -

Copyright © 2018 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.