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Election Question

Old 11-02-2010, 06:47 PM
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So if only 168 of 1833 precincts have reported and a race is currently at 56% to 42%, how the hell can they call a "Winner" if less than 10% of the precincts have reported in?????

Old 11-02-2010, 08:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Just1more View Post
So if only 168 of 1833 precincts have reported and a race is currently at 56% to 42%, how the hell can they call a "Winner" if less than 10% of the precincts have reported in?????

Because unless you are in a state that has one huge area that goes totally one way (your way) and it hasn't been counted yet, you can't make up a deficit like that. You wouldn't call New York with none of the precincts in NYC reporting unless a Dem had won that big upstate, BUT, if you only had NYC reporting and you had a lead like that, you would call it regardless of party affiliation..
Old 11-02-2010, 08:22 PM
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Originally Posted by Just1more View Post
So if only 168 of 1833 precincts have reported and a race is currently at 56% to 42%, how the hell can they call a "Winner" if less than 10% of the precincts have reported in?????

Exit polls.
Old 11-03-2010, 04:25 AM
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I think..........Exit polls plus you can get a valid statistical analysis with way less than 10 % if you have representative data and a large enough sample - if you are sure you have with representative data you can get buy with only several hundred. But if all reporting districts are known to be heavily democrat or Rep or all rural or all city and such it will not work. They actually seem to be pretty good at this stuff.

We have a Governor's race that is still too close to call because one heavily Remocratic city screwed up and the Republican is currently leading by a slim margin. Get this; there were like 70,000 registered voters and 20,000 ballots printed up - a number agreed upon by both parties.

http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/e...106559278.html
Old 11-03-2010, 04:59 AM
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clairvoyance?
Old 11-03-2010, 07:23 AM
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With no Acorn involvement or Black Panther presence they felt confident that the outcome would be much different than the previous election.

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