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Investment GURU's

Old 04-17-2007, 10:02 PM
  #201  
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I think it can shed 10 percent more in the next months (4 to 6 months), however it depends on the US economy, I'm not that good in giving a set of numbers.
but I knew the pound and the euro were gonna go up in the last years.

we talked about his a couple months ago(3/4)
when it will reverse is harder to predict.
people around the World are betting the us economy will enter a small recession, I know that's yet to be seen....
some people are betting alot of other WESTERN Economy's fare better.
these people are more worried with the housing bust in the us....

but around the world people are dumping their dollares like crazy, that by itself its enough to keep the pressure on the dollar.

higher gold prices don't help the Us currency also.
they used to in the old days but not anylonger, everbody around the world has gold reserves now,
in the old days the US had the most of the yellow metal.

the dollar lost over 15 percent against the pound and the euro in the last 6 months.
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Old 04-17-2007, 10:11 PM
  #202  
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the volume has drop alot on the last week, people are saying the economy is running on empty
(barron's on line).
FDIVX is doing really well,
I'am I little worry about Etfc , lets see how it fares tomorrow.

amtd was sinking today, I hope et will not pull the same trick tomorrow.
50 percent of my new boatfund is vested on that one.
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Old 04-19-2007, 01:12 AM
  #203  
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Asian markets down big, china rate hike rumored overnight.

If it happens, watch out - tomorrow is going to be VERY bloody.

Locked and loaded with SDS (short S&P500s) I was nibbling on today.... feels like a blowoff top. Bought a handful of VIX calls on the May 13s the other day too.

Be careful if you're long the market...... cracks are showing up......
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Old 04-22-2007, 12:47 AM
  #204  
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hey, I'm not stuck at the bottom anymore!! take that Redneck Joe!!!
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Old 04-23-2007, 04:34 PM
  #205  
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I'm making my move. Don't think it will amount to much.
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Old 04-25-2007, 02:46 PM
  #206  
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Default Re: Investment GURU's

DOW passed 1300 today!

How high is it going? Some say 1400 this year.

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Old 04-25-2007, 04:23 PM
  #207  
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Default RE: Investment GURU's

i havent been on for about a month - its asking me for the group password.

Anyone??

thanks

Bob
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Old 04-26-2007, 04:48 AM
  #208  
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Default RE: Investment GURU's

LI Sound Grunt - 4/25/2007 4:23 PM

i havent been on for about a month - its asking me for the group password.

Anyone??

thanks

Bob
Maybe


http://simulator.investopedia.com/Jo...VITE_1&G=47161...
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Old 04-26-2007, 10:12 AM
  #209  
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Thanks

It seems to let me in ok today

now to lose some more $$$
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Old 05-11-2007, 06:53 AM
  #210  
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Game Rankings
(*Rankings are evaluated overnight. Following rankings are as on 5/10/2007 10:03:55 PM)

Game : THT Investment Game
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rank User Today Overall Equity
1. Bigeye10 -0.43% N/A N/A 30.80% $653,989.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
2. bigrockhunter -1.23% N/A N/A 18.22% $591,086.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
3. SirOsis 1.24% N/A N/A 11.94% $559,695.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
4. hooligan1 -2.89% N/A N/A 10.87% $554,333.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
5. Ringleader -0.63% N/A N/A 9.84% $549,191.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
6. thundercapt -0.26% N/A N/A 8.28% $541,411.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
7. nhlurker -2.71% N/A N/A 7.78% $538,885.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
8. t5killer -0.64% N/A N/A 7.62% $538,099.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
9. MrB13 -0.49% N/A N/A 6.61% $533,071.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
10. KJS -0.28% N/A N/A 6.20% $530,992.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
11. boatlessagain 0.00% N/A N/A 5.76% $528,802.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
12. BADBASS -0.70% N/A N/A 3.90% $519,494.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
13. Dansar -1.00% N/A N/A 3.84% $519,178.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
14. marker150 -1.56% N/A N/A 3.59% $517,964.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
15. LilyE -0.36% N/A N/A 3.34% $516,689.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
16. Yeocokent -2.15% N/A N/A 3.23% $516,158.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
17. sa87 -1.02% N/A N/A 3.23% $516,147.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
18. redneckjoe -0.53% N/A N/A 3.00% $514,992.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
19. culu 0.04% N/A N/A 2.57% $512,870.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
20. ktugboat42 -1.25% N/A N/A 2.44% $512,177.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
21. lobsta -0.13% N/A N/A 2.11% $510,568.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
22. rit05 -0.27% N/A N/A 1.60% $508,020.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
23. 550SLUT -1.11% N/A N/A 1.25% $506,267.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
24. AlternateCP -0.43% N/A N/A 0.91% $504,564.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
25. timebandit -0.09% N/A N/A 0.90% $504,498.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
26. reelscreamer -0.47% N/A N/A 0.81% $504,039.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
27. wazer -0.80% N/A N/A 0.70% $503,502.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
28. 22angler 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,604.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
29. Profinity 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,577.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. 1bigtrouble 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. Ktrain 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. mikeyv29 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. kevcros 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
31. callianassa 0.00% N/A N/A 0.29% $501,453.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
32. steeptekk 0.00% N/A N/A 0.28% $501,385.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. mcomeaux1981 0.00% N/A N/A 0.27% $501,330.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
34. tjrjr1 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,069.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
35. Bigfish123 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,041.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
36. rapnjar -0.02% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,027.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
37. BOBBYCRAWLEY 0.00% N/A N/A 0.07% $500,356.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
38. jbutah3000 0.00% N/A N/A 0.06% $500,287.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
39. Verdict 0.00% N/A N/A 0.04% $500,191.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
40. codfisher 0.00% N/A N/A 0.02% $500,082.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
41. cerichcreek -1.67% N/A N/A -0.01% $499,939.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
42. enygard -0.03% N/A N/A -0.20% $499,008.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
43. CaptDan -0.23% N/A N/A -0.82% $495,897.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
44. prockvoan -0.43% N/A N/A -0.83% $495,839.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
45. ryckman 0.04% N/A N/A -0.86% $495,715.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
46. jtumli1 0.06% N/A N/A -1.34% $493,318.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
47. Gnat -2.99% N/A N/A -2.66% $486,687.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
48. RI_Builder -0.36% N/A N/A -4.55% $477,243.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
49. eb1326 0.04% N/A N/A -7.63% $461,858.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
50. saltshaker 0.00% N/A N/A -17.86% $410,712.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
51. TunaBomber -9.36% N/A N/A -24.16% $379,207.70 View Portfolio View Trade History





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Old 05-12-2007, 12:02 PM
  #211  
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Default RE: Investment GURU's



Game Rankings
(*Rankings are evaluated overnight. Following rankings are as on 5/11/2007 9:52:19 PM)

Game : THT Investment Game
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rank User Today Overall Equity
1. Bigeye10 0.42% N/A N/A 31.35% $656,729.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
2. bigrockhunter 1.55% N/A N/A 20.05% $600,261.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
3. SirOsis 0.88% N/A N/A 12.92% $564,616.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
4. hooligan1 1.36% N/A N/A 12.38% $561,882.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
5. Ringleader 0.32% N/A N/A 10.19% $550,971.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
6. nhlurker 2.21% N/A N/A 10.16% $550,797.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
7. thundercapt 0.02% N/A N/A 8.87% $544,326.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
8. t5killer 0.76% N/A N/A 8.44% $542,185.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
9. MrB13 1.02% N/A N/A 7.70% $538,512.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
10. boatlessagain 0.00% N/A N/A 7.28% $536,378.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
11. KJS 0.04% N/A N/A 6.69% $533,464.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
12. marker150 1.92% N/A N/A 5.58% $527,900.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
13. sa87 1.33% N/A N/A 4.60% $523,004.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
14. BADBASS 0.55% N/A N/A 4.47% $522,329.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
15. ktugboat42 1.92% N/A N/A 4.41% $522,026.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
16. redneckjoe 0.00% N/A N/A 4.21% $521,035.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
17. LilyE 0.05% N/A N/A 3.78% $518,922.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
18. Yeocokent 0.22% N/A N/A 3.45% $517,273.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
19. Dansar -0.50% N/A N/A 3.31% $516,558.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
20. reelscreamer 2.22% N/A N/A 3.05% $515,238.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
21. culu 0.46% N/A N/A 2.98% $514,890.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
22. rit05 -0.02% N/A N/A 2.74% $513,710.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
23. 550SLUT 1.30% N/A N/A 2.57% $512,859.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
24. lobsta 0.42% N/A N/A 2.54% $512,700.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
25. AlternateCP 0.55% N/A N/A 1.47% $507,329.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
26. wazer 0.49% N/A N/A 1.20% $505,988.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
27. cerichcreek 0.96% N/A N/A 1.03% $505,147.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
28. timebandit 0.08% N/A N/A 0.98% $504,916.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
29. ryckman 1.68% N/A N/A 0.81% $504,065.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. jtumli1 1.19% N/A N/A 0.55% $502,750.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
31. 22angler 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,604.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
32. Profinity 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,577.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. 1bigtrouble 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. Ktrain 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. mikeyv29 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. kevcros 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
34. callianassa 0.00% N/A N/A 0.29% $501,453.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
35. steeptekk 0.00% N/A N/A 0.28% $501,385.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
36. mcomeaux1981 0.00% N/A N/A 0.27% $501,330.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
37. rapnjar 0.02% N/A N/A 0.23% $501,133.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
38. tjrjr1 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,069.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
39. Bigfish123 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,041.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
40. BOBBYCRAWLEY 0.00% N/A N/A 0.07% $500,356.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
41. jbutah3000 0.00% N/A N/A 0.06% $500,287.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
42. Verdict 0.00% N/A N/A 0.04% $500,191.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
43. codfisher 0.00% N/A N/A 0.02% $500,082.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
44. enygard 0.06% N/A N/A -0.14% $499,298.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
45. prockvoan 0.30% N/A N/A -0.54% $497,324.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
46. Gnat 0.13% N/A N/A -0.61% $496,972.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
47. CaptDan 0.14% N/A N/A -0.68% $496,597.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
48. RI_Builder 0.54% N/A N/A -4.02% $479,913.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
49. eb1326 0.31% N/A N/A -7.34% $463,303.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
50. saltshaker 0.00% N/A N/A -17.86% $410,712.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
51. TunaBomber 2.19% N/A N/A -22.50% $387,520.70 View Portfolio View Trade History

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Old 05-22-2007, 10:54 PM
  #212  
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Default RE: Investment GURU's



Game Rankings
(*Rankings are evaluated overnight. Following rankings are as on 5/21/2007 9:57:28 PM)

Game : THT Investment Game
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rank User Today Overall Equity
1. Bigeye10 0.00% N/A N/A 31.73% $658,659.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
2. bigrockhunter 0.00% N/A N/A 23.62% $618,081.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
3. SirOsis 0.00% N/A N/A 14.49% $572,450.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
4. hooligan1 0.00% N/A N/A 13.14% $565,706.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
5. t5killer 0.00% N/A N/A 10.78% $553,922.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
6. nhlurker 0.00% N/A N/A 10.53% $552,661.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
7. Ringleader 0.00% N/A N/A 10.45% $552,261.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
8. thundercapt 0.00% N/A N/A 10.38% $551,899.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
9. culu 0.29% N/A N/A 10.11% $550,563.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
10. MrB13 0.00% N/A N/A 8.20% $540,983.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
11. KJS 0.00% N/A N/A 8.14% $540,723.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
12. boatlessagain 0.00% N/A N/A 7.18% $535,903.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
13. marker150 0.00% N/A N/A 7.16% $535,798.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
14. Yeocokent 0.00% N/A N/A 6.14% $530,713.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
15. ktugboat42 0.00% N/A N/A 5.53% $527,644.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
16. redneckjoe 0.00% N/A N/A 5.48% $527,405.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
17. BADBASS 0.00% N/A N/A 5.19% $525,954.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
18. sa87 0.00% N/A N/A 4.84% $524,179.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
19. 550SLUT 0.00% N/A N/A 4.62% $523,078.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
20. LilyE 0.00% N/A N/A 4.43% $522,150.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
21. rit05 0.00% N/A N/A 3.20% $516,012.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
22. lobsta 0.00% N/A N/A 3.02% $515,091.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
23. AlternateCP 0.00% N/A N/A 2.90% $514,498.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
24. Dansar 0.00% N/A N/A 2.87% $514,348.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
25. ryckman 0.00% N/A N/A 2.61% $513,040.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
26. jtumli1 0.00% N/A N/A 2.56% $512,811.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
27. cerichcreek 0.00% N/A N/A 2.05% $510,242.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
28. reelscreamer -0.61% N/A N/A 1.64% $508,210.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
29. wazer 0.00% N/A N/A 1.12% $505,597.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. timebandit 1.11% N/A N/A 1.11% $505,560.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
31. 22angler 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,604.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
32. Profinity 0.00% N/A N/A 0.32% $501,577.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. 1bigtrouble 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. Ktrain 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. mikeyv29 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
33. kevcros 0.00% N/A N/A 0.31% $501,549.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
34. callianassa 0.00% N/A N/A 0.29% $501,453.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
35. steeptekk 0.00% N/A N/A 0.28% $501,385.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
36. mcomeaux1981 0.00% N/A N/A 0.27% $501,330.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
37. rapnjar 0.00% N/A N/A 0.23% $501,149.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
38. tjrjr1 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,069.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
39. Bigfish123 0.00% N/A N/A 0.21% $501,041.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
40. enygard 0.00% N/A N/A 0.16% $500,808.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
41. BOBBYCRAWLEY 0.00% N/A N/A 0.07% $500,356.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
42. jbutah3000 0.00% N/A N/A 0.06% $500,287.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
43. Verdict 0.00% N/A N/A 0.04% $500,191.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
44. codfisher 0.00% N/A N/A 0.02% $500,082.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
45. prockvoan 0.00% N/A N/A -0.83% $495,839.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
46. CaptDan 0.00% N/A N/A -1.29% $493,557.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
47. Gnat 0.00% N/A N/A -1.53% $492,338.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
48. RI_Builder -1.20% N/A N/A -2.27% $488,633.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
49. eb1326 0.00% N/A N/A -6.72% $466,383.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
50. saltshaker 0.00% N/A N/A -17.86% $410,712.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
51. TunaBomber 0.00% N/A N/A -23.69% $381,552.70 View Portfolio View Trade History


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Old 06-18-2007, 10:10 AM
  #213  
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Join Date: Aug 2001
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Posts: 517
Default Re: Investment GURU's

Game Rankings
(*Rankings are evaluated overnight. Following rankings are as on 6/17/2007 11:40:42 PM)

Game : THT Investment Game
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rank User Today Overall Equity
1. bigrockhunter 0.00% N/A N/A 31.10% $655,478.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
2. Bigeye10 0.00% N/A N/A 30.19% $650,949.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
3. hooligan1 0.00% N/A N/A 21.50% $607,487.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
4. culu 0.00% N/A N/A 16.96% $584,806.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
5. Ringleader 0.00% N/A N/A 14.84% $574,214.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
6. t5killer 0.00% N/A N/A 14.40% $571,985.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
7. SirOsis 0.00% N/A N/A 13.92% $569,575.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
8. MrB13 0.00% N/A N/A 12.64% $563,218.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
9. thundercapt 0.00% N/A N/A 12.25% $561,244.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
10. nhlurker 0.00% N/A N/A 12.17% $560,826.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
11. ktugboat42 0.00% N/A N/A 9.63% $548,154.00 View Portfolio View Trade History
12. Yeocokent 0.00% N/A N/A 9.62% $548,115.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
13. KJS 0.00% N/A N/A 9.60% $548,016.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
14. marker150 0.00% N/A N/A 9.16% $545,791.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
15. boatlessagain 0.00% N/A N/A 8.23% $541,152.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
16. jtumli1 0.00% N/A N/A 7.94% $539,681.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
17. BADBASS 0.00% N/A N/A 6.94% $534,720.50 View Portfolio View Trade History
18. AlternateCP 0.00% N/A N/A 6.47% $532,347.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
19. 550SLUT 0.00% N/A N/A 6.41% $532,044.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
20. redneckjoe 0.00% N/A N/A 6.08% $530,392.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
21. LilyE 0.00% N/A N/A 5.98% $529,919.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
22. sa87 0.00% N/A N/A 5.92% $529,589.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
23. rit05 0.00% N/A N/A 4.16% $520,795.10 View Portfolio View Trade History
24. ryckman 0.00% N/A N/A 4.09% $520,432.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
25. lobsta 0.00% N/A N/A 3.15% $515,751.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
26. cerichcreek 0.00% N/A N/A 3.09% $515,444.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
27. Dansar 0.00% N/A N/A 2.56% $512,781.30 View Portfolio View Trade History
28. wazer 0.00% N/A N/A 2.10% $510,485.40 View Portfolio View Trade History
29. RI_Builder 0.00% N/A N/A 0.42% $502,099.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
30. 22angler 0.00% N/A N/A 0.41% $502,030.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
31. Profinity 0.00% N/A N/A 0.40% $502,003.20 View Portfolio View Trade History
32. 1bigtrouble 0.00% N/A N/A 0.40% $501,975.70 View Portfolio View Trade History
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42. jbutah3000 0.00% N/A N/A 0.14% $500,712.60 View Portfolio View Trade History
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44. codfisher 0.00% N/A N/A 0.10% $500,506.90 View Portfolio View Trade History
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47. Gnat 0.00% N/A N/A -4.44% $477,808.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
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49. saltshaker 0.00% N/A N/A -17.79% $411,060.80 View Portfolio View Trade History
50. TunaBomber 0.00% N/A N/A -21.89% $390,552.00 View Portfolio View Trade History

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Old 06-19-2007, 11:25 AM
  #214  
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Old 06-20-2007, 05:50 PM
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June 15, 2007

A Unique Era
by Mary Anne and Pamela Aden


The gold market has been under pressure lately and some investors are feeling a little nervous. But the major trend is clearly up. That being the case, let's stand back and look at the facts...

Gold has been rising for over six years and it's gained 158% since then. That works out to 26% per annum, which has consistently been better than most other markets. The recent weakness is a bump in the road and it's not unusual. We continue to believe that gold will likely rise for years to come, eventually reaching at least $2000 and it'll probably go even higher.

THE PERFECT STORM

Why? We've discussed the reasons why many times before but this is a good time to review some basics.

Essentially, the perfect storm is gathering. That's the big picture and it's by far the most important. If you understand this and invest based on what's happening, we feel strongly that you'll continue to be well rewarded in the years ahead.

Number one on our list is the global boom and wealth shift. Three billion people are now involved in the global economy who weren't involved before and this is a massive development. Think about it for a moment...

THE WORLD HAS CHANGED

Twenty years ago China was one of the poorest countries in the world, and so was India. Russia and Eastern Europe were Communist and shortages were commonplace. Then it all changed. Communism fell. China became a capitalistic society and the world's leading manufacturer, embarking on a mega boom that's poised to continue for decades.

Remember, in all of world history no country as large as China, with its over one billion population, has grown as fast and strong as China has in such a short time.

It's the fastest growing economy in the world, it has the largest cash reserves and you have to see it to believe it. There is growth everywhere... widespread building, modernization, super highways, bright lights, big cities, thousands of skyscrapers, the world's fastest bullet train, and hard working people who are proud of the path China is on.

Then there's India who is following in China's footsteps. Along with its 1.1 billion people, it's become the world's main service center. India's growth has been impressive and the demand for commodities from these countries alone has been incredible.

China, for instance, has been buying up a large share of the world's steel, lead, tin, cement, aluminum and other raw materials to build its infrastructure. Commodity imports are soaring and China is the world's second largest oil importer.

All of this demand has been the key factor driving the commodity markets higher in recent years and there's no end in sight. This is also coinciding with the mega commodity cycle, which has been quite consistent for over 200 years.

This cycle hit bottom in 2000 and based on its historical pattern, commodities will likely keep rising for another 15 years or so. If they do, it'll be positive for gold and the other precious metals since these markets generally move together, along with oil, natural resources and so on.

This demand factor is very important, especially combined with the limited commodity supply. But demand is not only coming from China, India and the former Communist nations, the whole world is doing well. Currently, only two countries are in recession and over 100 countries are growing at 4% or more.

Again, this global growth fuels demand, which is good for commodities and, therefore, it's good for gold.

MONEY-MONEY-MONEY...

Spending, money and inflation are the other three big factors we've often discussed and they are equally important. In fact, that's really what this long-term bull market in gold is all about and it's the essence of the perfect storm.

The U.S. is the world's largest debtor nation. It keeps spending money in amounts so large it's difficult to put it into perspective, but we'll try... For example, at $5 million per day, it would take nearly 40,000 years to pay off the U.S. debt and liabilities. The Iraq war alone is going to cost the same amount as all of the gold that's ever been produced in the world since the time of Christ... and on and on.

It's all truly mind boggling but it's happening and it's going to intensify. How do we know?

The baby boomers are approaching retirement and their numbers are huge at 26% of the total U.S. population. The bottom line is that 20,000,000 of the retiring boomers do not have enough money to retire on. They'll have to rely on Social Security and Medicare over the next 20 to 30 years. In addition to the majority of retired Americans who already depend on Social Security, this is going to zap an already badly strained system.

Not to be gloom and doomers but these are the facts. Very simply, the boomer effect is going to exacerbate the debt problem.

... DRIVING ALL ASSETS HIGHER

As we've often pointed out, to pay for all its expenses, the government simply creates money and it's been creating piles of money. Interest payments on the debt alone are about $200 billion annually. Other countries have been pumping out lots of money too and this massive, worldwide liquidity has been driving all assets higher.

From stocks to commodities, precious metals, oil, currencies, art and real estate... if it's an asset it's probably been rising. That's the good news but there's a price to pay for all this money creation and it's a high one.

Inflation is the direct result of excessive money creation. So far, most people haven't noticed much. Sure, they'll complain that their money doesn't go as far as it used to, but as spending, debt and money grow, inflation will too.

This will also make the dollar worth less. There are too many dollars floating around, which cheapens the currency and that's one of the main reasons why the dollar's been falling and why it'll continue to fall. And since gold is a hedge against inflation and it moves opposite to the dollar, that's why gold will continue rising.

GOLD REAL MONEY, DOLLAR NOT

It's also important to understand what happened in the 1970s and why this will continue to affect you.

Briefly, from that point on and by presidential decree, the dollar was no longer backed by gold. This removed all discipline and money could then be created at will.

The dollar became a paper currency, it began to float in the free market and it has lost 70% of its value since then against the other major currencies. The dollar will continue losing its value because it's only backed by paper, by a country that has sadly run up the biggest debts in world history. Throughout history, no paper currency has ever survived. It's a slow process but it'll eventually happen to the dollar too.

Gold, on the other hand, has stood the test of time. It has a 5,000 year track record and it's valuable. It always has been, and it always will be.

Gold is real money and it has maintained its purchasing power over the centuries. And as the dollar continues to slide, and spending and money creation continue on their merry way, gold will be the ultimate beneficiary.

THE FINAL CONFIRMATION

Plus, there's even more and this is truly the final confirmation (see Chart 1, which we believe is the most important chart we're currently following). Here you'll see the really big picture of the 30 year yield, together with its very long-term 80 month moving average, going back to 1930.



Note that the yield has been declining since 1981 and in recent years it's been building a base. The long-term moving average identifies the mega trend and it doesn't change direction often. In fact, it's only changed three times in 77 years, but when it did, it then set in motion a new era and mega trend that lasted for decades.

The last time that happened was 22 years ago. After long-term interest rates peaked near 15% at the end of the inflationary 1970s and gold had soared to $850. the mega trend has been down since then.

Currently, however, another one of these big changes is taking place. This mega moving average is at 5.03% and the 30 year yield has soared above it. It's now at 5.25%. if the yuield stays above 5.03%, the mega trend is up, which is a huge new development. It means long-term interest rates are going much higher and htat big inflation is coming for years to come, which is similar to what happened in the 1970s.

This would also coincide with the mega uptrend in commodities and it would loudly signal that a totally different era is in store, contrary to what's been happening for over 25 years, and it'll be extremely bullish for gold.

So bumps in the road shouldn't sway you. Gold is in a mega trend based on fundamental factors that are not going away any time soon. So again, stay invested and we feel strongly that you'll be glad you did.





Mary Anne and Pamela Aden
Aden Forecast.com

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Old 06-20-2007, 08:05 PM
  #216  
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the mega trend chart didn't paste...
you can see it here


http://www.safehaven.com/showarticle.cfm?id=7771&pv=1

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Old 09-05-2007, 10:26 PM
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it wont let me log in - what is the group password?
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Old 09-06-2007, 06:48 AM
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nat - 6/20/2007 5:50 PM

GOLD REAL MONEY, DOLLAR NOT


Nat, if you feel this way, i'd be happy to take any of those worthless dollars off your hands. Let me know.

Also I find it humorous that these people who think paper money is worthless, will happily take yours in exchange for gold. Hmmm.
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Old 09-06-2007, 07:04 AM
  #219  
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If you don't understand the loss of purchasing power of the dollar, it would be a waste of my time to try and explain it to you.
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Old 09-06-2007, 09:47 AM
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nat - 9/6/2007 7:04 AM

If you don't understand the loss of purchasing power of the dollar, it would be a waste of my time to try and explain it to you.
Let me know, and I'll PM you an address that you can send your worthless money too.
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